Expert evidence at the inquest into the deaths of four young Armagh people has pointed to a “speed-related loss of control” shortly before their Volkswagen Golf struck a tree on Ballynahonemore Road and burst into flames.

The crash happened in the early hours of Sunday, March 24, 2024. Philip Mitchell, 27, Keith Morrison, 22, Emma Mallon, 22, and 24-year-old mother-of-one Marina Crilly all died.

The hearing is taking place at Banbridge Courthouse. Tuesday was the second day of the inquest, which is examining the circumstances of the collision.

Experts find no mechanical cause

Ryan Young, a senior scientific officer with Forensic Science Northern Ireland’s road traffic collision unit, told the court that the Golf suffered “substantial frontal damage, concentrated centrally” when it hit a large mature oak tree. He said the subsequent fire damage had been “extensive and catastrophic”.

Despite the destruction, Mr Young said his examination found no evidence that a mechanical failure caused the crash. The braking, steering and suspension showed no pre-collision defects that could have contributed, while the components that remained intact were in serviceable condition.

He described Ballynahonemore Road as a rural, unlit right-hand bend on a slight incline. The surface was damp when he attended, but he considered the road to be in fair condition. He said there were no contaminants or irregularities that could have contributed to the collision, and tests showed the available grip was satisfactory even in damp conditions.

Burned seatbelt hardware suggested that the driver and front-seat passenger had likely been wearing seatbelts. However, the extent of the damage meant Mr Young could not determine whether the two rear occupants had been belted.

CCTV showed speeds above the limit

A substantial part of the evidence focused on CCTV footage gathered as the Golf travelled out of Armagh towards the crash site. Mr Young reviewed footage from the Mall West area, the PSNI’s Gough Barracks, a private address at Bannvale Mews and a commercial premises referred to as Tretzo.

He said a vehicle matching the collision car by type, colour and partial registration could be tracked leaving Armagh city centre. At Gough Barracks, the Golf was recorded during an overtaking manoeuvre in a 30mph zone. It covered 50.7 metres in just over two seconds, giving an average speed of about 55mph and an estimated range of 53 to 57mph.

At another city location, Mr Young compared the Golf with an unrelated blue car travelling at about 20mph. He calculated that the Golf was moving between 2.5 and 2.9 times faster, equating to roughly 50 to 58mph in another 30mph residential area.

At Bannvale Mews, about 1.3km from the crash scene, the Golf travelled 244.1 metres in approximately nine seconds. That produced an average speed of around 61mph, with a possible range of 56 to 67mph. Its speed appeared to fall to the mid-40s near Tretzo.

Mr Young told the court that the footage, taken as a whole, showed “a pattern of speed higher than the speed limit” as the car travelled through built-up areas on its way out of Armagh.

Tyre marks and impact evidence

Mr Young said two parallel tyre tracks approaching the tree initially followed a curved path, consistent with the car beginning to understeer as it took the right-hand bend. Near the nearside kerb, fresh stone pull-outs, alloy smearing and tyre marks indicated that the rear nearside wheel had clipped the kerb as the car slid sideways.

The tracks then straightened into two dark, roughly parallel streaks. Scuffing and horizontal scrape marks suggested the driver had attempted to brake while the vehicle was already at the limit of its available grip, leaving the front tyres with little directional control.

He said the car travelled in a straight line tangential to the curve before colliding with the tree. Comparing the damage with crash-test data for similar impacts, he estimated the impact speed at between 50 and 60mph. Taking account of deceleration over the roughly 24 metres between the beginning of the tyre marks and the tree, he estimated the speed at the initial loss of control was probably close to 60mph.

Asked whether the marks suggested the driver had deliberately steered towards the tree, Mr Young rejected that interpretation. He said they were consistent with attempts to correct the vehicle’s course. When asked if the evidence indicated that the driver and speed were too much for the bend, he replied: “Yes, that’s correct.”

Independent collision investigator and consulting forensic engineer Colin Glynn, instructed by Emma Mallon’s family, also gave evidence. After visiting the scene in December 2025 and carrying out his own survey, he agreed there was nothing about the Golf’s mechanical condition to explain the crash.

Mr Glynn calculated that the maximum theoretical speed for safely negotiating the bend on a damp surface was about 63mph once the crest on the approach was taken into account. His reconstruction of the tyre marks indicated a travel speed of approximately 64mph when they were made.

He said the evidence showed the driver was attempting to keep the car on the road and follow the curve, describing it as “a speed-related loss of control while the driver was attempting to negotiate the bend”. Both experts agreed that all four tyres had reached the limit of their grip and that the car was travelling too fast for the bend in the conditions, despite technical differences over the use of the term “understeer”.

Further evidence expected

Coroner Anne Louise Toal acknowledged that the technical evidence and repeated references to the moments before impact would have been extremely difficult for the families to hear.

Further expert and agency witnesses are due to give evidence on Wednesday. The inquest is also scheduled to sit again on Friday morning.